Recent polling data has unveiled significant shifts in the political landscape of the Czech Republic, with indications that the ANO movement would emerge victorious if parliamentary elections were held today. According to the Kantar model for ČT, the ANO party commands a formidable lead, securing a staggering 35% of the popular vote. This robust showing offers valuable insights into the prevailing political preferences of Czech voters.

In the latest survey, the ODS party follows ANO with 15.5% of the vote, with the SPD and Pirates parties each capturing 9.5%. These figures underscore the evolving dynamics within the Czech electorate and the changing fortunes of political parties in the country.

Even in the scenario where the ruling parties, ODS, TOP 09, and KDU-ČSL, unite as the Spolu coalition, as in previous elections, they would secure only 22.5% of voter preference. ANO maintains its dominance in this scenario as well, commanding 35.5% of the vote. Notably, ANO has bolstered its position since November, gaining half a percentage point, while ODS has seen a three-point improvement in the current survey.

Conversely, the Pirates have experienced a two-point decline, and the SPD movement has weakened by half a percentage point since November. Despite these fluctuations, Starostové would secure representation in the Chamber of Deputies with a gain of 6.5%, while TOP 09 hovers near the critical five-percent threshold.

However, several other political groupings are projected to fall below the threshold required for entry into the Chamber of Deputies, according to the Kantar model. Social Democracy (SOCDEM) is the closest to the threshold, with a four percent gain, while the People’s Party and the Přísaha movement lag behind. The Communists and the Free Party are assigned three percent and 2.5 percent, respectively.

The Kantar survey, conducted between January 15 and February 2 with 1,013 respondents, provides valuable insights into public sentiment. In the event of an ANO victory, Andrej Babiš has expressed his aspiration to assume the role of prime minister, confirming this intention during a television program on Prima.

In conclusion, the latest survey by Kantar for ČT indicates a 22% satisfaction rate among the populace, marking a notable increase from 16% in November. These findings underscore the fluid nature of Czech politics and the evolving preferences of voters as the country approaches the upcoming elections.

Article by Prague Forum